NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c799a2814bbb675834ab6a14a74d5b7302c83e1a4cff6f865cbba4295fcf6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Hawks | 47c | 85,389$40,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,136.69 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 41,253$21,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,406.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 28,786$15,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,529.24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Hawks | 51c | 19,147$9,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,761.15 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 51c | 16,109$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 49c | 15,274$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,785.51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 14,226$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,233.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 12,249$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,336$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.85 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d1…37e2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,780$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks | 42c | 5,554$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.52 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Cavaliers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Hawks | 48c | 3,908$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.81 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hawks | 50c | 3,808$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.21 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Hawks | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.9 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Hawks | 51c | 2,524$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.02 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Hawks | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,335$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.45 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Hawks | 50c | 1,649$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.5 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,460$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.64 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.89 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,357$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.48 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Hawks | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 44c | 1,160$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.57 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,141$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,141$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,141$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,141$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,141$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.17 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hawks | 48c | 1,105$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.11 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…a663backed Hawks | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,054$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.53 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Hawks | 50c | 1,047$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.27 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Hawks | 49c | 999.93$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 999.89$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hawks | 40c | 984.76$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.9 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 956.48$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.59 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 51c | 870$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 788.1$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.93 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Cavaliers | 49c | 788.1$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 758.8$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.93 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…8c1bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 695.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 633.74$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…cc2ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 591.07$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Hawks | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…5081backed Hawks | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…b717backed Cavaliers | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 568.48$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Cavaliers | 58c | 568.48$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…449dbacked Hawks | 51c | 559.52$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Hawks | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 543.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Hawks | 38c | 490$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 469.26$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89a…70d3backed Hawks | 49c | 446.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…cc95backed Cavaliers | 51c | 433.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +659.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…3b18backed Hawks | 42c | 408.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Hawks | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Cavaliers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…56d1backed Hawks | 51c | 374.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Hawks | 51c | 373.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Hawks | 50c | 364.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Cavaliers | 54c | 358.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hawks | 42c | 357.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Cavaliers | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cavaliers | 53c | 297.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 283.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 282.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Hawks | 50c | 281.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 269.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers | 50c | 266$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers | 50c | 257.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…50febacked Cavaliers | 51c | 254.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bb…6248backed Hawks | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Cavaliers | 59c | 245.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers | 42c | 241.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 238.31$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Hawks | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Hawks | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…ba07backed Cavaliers | 56c | 203.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…8510backed Hawks | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Hawks | 51c | 189.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cavaliers | 58c | 183.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 46c | 174.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Cavaliers | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Cavaliers | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 166.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 164.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Cavaliers | 51c | 162.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Hawks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Hawks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.