TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,798
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,798 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No72c18,742$13,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,235.6371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No70c8,213$5,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.916446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c7,838$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.621,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f75…af7ebacked Yes66c7,454$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c6,644$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.2462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Yes33c5,860$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes10c3,514$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4824349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes71c3,333$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.431553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c2,690$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.921,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c2,032$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes15c1,861$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.0852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.951566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes70c1,399$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4824642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No29c1,321$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No30c1,268$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.879450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.42per pick22cpaid+183%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x987a…40cfbacked Yes12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No61c859.91$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.699863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No29c841.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.713540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No67c841.21$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.65642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed No70c746.05$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked No56c725.59$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes39c706$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.8633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed No70c701.95$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.58875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No57c683.85$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No29c660.28$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c645.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.613246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes9c577.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes9c525.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.273619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c503.84$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Yes72c491.6$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed No30c479$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No28c401$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes16c379.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6712738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes34c341.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No29c340$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.412039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes16c324.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes16c292.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+77.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Yes17c279.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.511040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes23c268.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3414544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c264.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No34c260.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.519641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Yes32c241.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No34c229.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes70c224.18$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes16c213.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Yes13c189.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6450%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked No27c185.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.771662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked Yes15c179.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-76.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes32c167.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.551625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes15c149.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4498…35e6backed Yes72c142.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-53.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.094372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes17c139.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes73c134.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Yes14c132.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes13c131.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc93f…9d2dbacked Yes70c128.02$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes26c124.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.266943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3548…14dabacked Yes15c122.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes16c121$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.793732.4%12 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c120.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6818155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.992540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8b…b401backed Yes38c115.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed No29c102.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.922133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No27c99.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes48c95.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.748066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac55…610dbacked Yes17c95.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes16c85.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb90…e599backed Yes67c83.45$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes67c75.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes28c74.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.713144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No33c72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed No36c69.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Yes20c67.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes15c66.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes22c62.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7317817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No49c55.11$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.111338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes40c53.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6866…b8f4backed No36c46.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked No68c43.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked No69c41.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes73c40.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.513946.2%18 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8597…d9fcbacked Yes70c39.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No42c38.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.32369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Yes37c37.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes71c29.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab93…8fe3backed No47c28.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes72c27.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.661040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042a…bcc2backed Yes72c27.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8977…6579backed No70c26.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No68c24.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x328e…2a49backed Yes65c22.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes62c17.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No74c15.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes72c15.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.822646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.