Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264542c2f04240671cf96429ec7522c3b5c0e32b0c7e2f3633de55589ed9e230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 12,457$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,574.41 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Yes | 53c | 10,703$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 5,753$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.4 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 4,720$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.99 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 69c | 2,852$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 2,533$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.67 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,484$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.33 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 78c | 1,977$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.87 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 1,540$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.06 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 16c | 1,444$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 22cpaid | +705.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 23c | 1,259$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 1,173$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.48 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 1,100$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 928.35$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.54 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked No | 64c | 880.08$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 42c | 809.18$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 35c | 657.74$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 22c | 588.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 583.39$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.88 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 529.68$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 20c | 518.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 43c | 405.68$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 25c | 337.44$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 24c | 310.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 22c | 303.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 35c | 277.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 54c | 272.4$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 19c | 250.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 40c | 242.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 57c | 235.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…3d46backed Yes | 40c | 227.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 80c | 203.32$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes | 59c | 165.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 66c | 162.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 60c | 159.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 154.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 20c | 150.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +207.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 54c | 131.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 129.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 118$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 114.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 110.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 21c | 107.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 73c | 103.3$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 65c | 87.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 56c | 76.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…52e8backed No | 22c | 68.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 22c | 60.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 38c | 59.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 19c | 57.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 69c | 56.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 54.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 46.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 34c | 44.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 28cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…6d1fbacked Yes | 70c | 42.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 55c | 37.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 40c | 35.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 41c | 35.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…c639backed Yes | 43c | 33.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0c7cbacked Yes | 57c | 23.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…5f13backed No | 79c | 23.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 77c | 21.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…625fbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.