TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,557,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,701,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,557,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes58c1,896,490$1,099,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797,275.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No42c480,000$201,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,600837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No42c455,717$191,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,400.966155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No42c125,579$52,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,743.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+92.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No42c120,803$50,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,737.461060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed No43c100,000$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,999.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No42c90,000$37,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,8002653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c58,074$23,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,458.242,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No42c51,910$21,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,802.23548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No42c48,889$20,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,533.25752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked No43c46,512$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0004070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No42c39,325$16,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,516.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c34,521$14,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,503.2798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No46c32,914$15,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,140.271741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c32,200$13,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,766.6793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No42c32,200$13,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,5243135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c29,352$12,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,618.4834239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No42c29,327$12,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,317.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No42c26,100$10,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9623345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes45c22,031$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,031.331030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c18,508$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,564.931,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes57c17,528$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,528.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No47c16,267$7,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,570.131040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No32c15,591$5,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.713748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No42c15,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9916045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes54c12,637$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,868.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No42c12,203$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,125.123237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No43c12,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1603259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes54c12,000$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,56012153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x658e…d758backed Yes44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+153.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No42c10,229$4,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c10,205$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.9427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No42c9,169$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+66.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c7,132$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.2632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No42c6,400$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6886165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No43c6,141$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.635550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c6,026$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.9235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,46018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No43c5,973$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.8868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No50c5,893$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9501030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes56c5,843$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.862050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No36c5,645$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.1930828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No3c5,300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.73837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c5,175$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.4549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No42c4,800$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0164971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No43c4,708$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0212944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c4,034$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.2322373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No56c3,734$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.875459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c3,682$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.8241954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c3,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.6413839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes43c3,023$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No42c3,006$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.8424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.984663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No42c2,800$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1766365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No27c2,763$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.92944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.211833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No42c2,581$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.1319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No37c2,458$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0085862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes74c2,396$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.395955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No42c2,368$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.565151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes73c2,317$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.961181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.734546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes58c2,240$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.6433951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No43c2,231$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No45c2,187$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9841127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3358…9072backed No44c2,160$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Yes56c2,143$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c2,119$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x232c…d50fbacked Yes58c2,049$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8404170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9718951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.97666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No42c1,897$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No42c1,840$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.82378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No42c1,815$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.094146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+86.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No42c1,755$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.11877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.393167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed No4c1,700$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes58c1,689$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.852356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No45c1,681$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.9441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6726369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No42c1,600$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6726170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No25c1,585$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes65c1,515$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.864463.6%28 W · 16 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No42c1,499$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick39cpaid+86.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No42c1,439$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.212351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.642133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No43c1,332$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.544845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c1,200$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.7639354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c1,175$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0932854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes53c1,133$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.