Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c0701f17d41b1554d1471459e04088d95d17d6fa4e4786c6742b05e2873923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 6,254$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.61 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 5,580$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.8 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 74c | 3,892$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.84 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,801$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 61c | 2,820$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 36c | 2,023$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.28 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,122$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 19c | 1,056$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 978.44$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 23c | 840$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 8c | 498.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 403.95$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 5c | 362.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Yes | 19c | 352$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 17c | 279.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 259.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 230.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 217.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 39c | 207$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 20c | 205.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 205.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…ace4backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 157.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 145.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 24c | 119.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…49e0backed Yes | 15c | 112$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 100.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked Yes | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 75.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Yes | 37c | 70.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Yes | 26c | 64.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…3adcbacked Yes | 26c | 60.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 77c | 57.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…36a2backed Yes | 20c | 54.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 33c | 51.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 40c | 51.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…0fb2backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…f271backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 36c | 41.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 39c | 37.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 35.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 40c | 25.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 25.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.