Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d4c9dd9423e3ab93d762b37d14e57aea3f479f51af3f84f409ef71c78d38ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 3,344$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 19c | 2,400$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 80c | 1,315$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 18c | 900.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Yes | 19c | 782$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…82e5backed Yes | 18c | 575$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 574.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…43aebacked Yes | 20c | 485.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 18c | 404.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…14a0backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 312.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Yes | 19c | 307.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 305.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 19c | 290$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 240.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 199.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 14c | 175.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 12c | 142$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…69f5backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6059…2800backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 22c | 111.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 13c | 108.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…7da9backed Yes | 20c | 96.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…7f8fbacked Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 72.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 20c | 60.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 18c | 56.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 19c | 55.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 50.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…765ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 79c | 33.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.