TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c5,592$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No74c4,080$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.732152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes26c3,543$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.188254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes27c3,169$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes8c2,252$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.977227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c1,288$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes17c1,194$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.553324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes35c1,097$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No72c1,084$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.581172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes22c999.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.611725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes41c964.36$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x593e…05a6backed Yes27c845.96$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes24c816.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked No75c710$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c707.41$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b98…5beabacked Yes18c667.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c516.91$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13030448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes14c498.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.321936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No64c483$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No77c343.68$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.895763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes28c342.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0235650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c340$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.21,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No78c339.81$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.024459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No77c331.04$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.748058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes20c319.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2516224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c317.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9538056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No77c313.92$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.765463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c313.38$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No77c301.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.353458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed No73c299.98$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes25c291.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+169.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c286.41$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.019558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c278.69$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2613246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No71c256.49$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…fa51backed Yes36c230.81$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c216.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8597…d9fcbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c199.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c175.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No74c175.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6618245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes24c175$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes15c156.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56f…437dbacked No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c153.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c145$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.357060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No77c120.6$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.742152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes31c120.14$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c113.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9269…5eb8backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd93…31d1backed Yes26c110.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c108.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7518155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes24c103.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2749…d993backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+77.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c98.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c95.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.872445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No75c91.41$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes26c88.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.911513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-64%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c88.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No75c84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.384100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No76c83.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0814544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe102…71dfbacked No68c79.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No77c75.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No66c68.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c65.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.943100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes29c58.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Yes24c54.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1310855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4400…ca4dbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes26c49.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes26c48.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes24c44.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-79.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c44.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…bcc3backed Yes26c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No74c42.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.113360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No75c42.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No75c42.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.544050%20 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No75c42.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.