TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$606,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$701,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Yes47c104,000$48,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,120837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No53c64,766$34,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,325.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c63,381$29,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,634.5324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes71c52,306$37,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,227.161,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No53c45,990$24,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,375.12536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c26,020$14,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,191.4452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes67c18,129$12,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.9748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No53c16,452$8,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.896952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes44c15,733$6,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,735.526446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe635…702abacked Yes48c13,702$6,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,152.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c13,192$6,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.2187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No55c13,133$7,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,180.31225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No5c13,018$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.664122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No53c12,820$6,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,813.788254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c10,158$5,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No54c7,352$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c6,333$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.0421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No55c6,260$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.224447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes46c6,105$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.724045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes47c6,070$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.84438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes45c5,741$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes47c4,675$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c4,488$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.9728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c4,428$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,435.3923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes46c4,361$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.941154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1603655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1204057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No54c3,949$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.611136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes38c3,900$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.888435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c3,788$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.236443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c3,427$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.091,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c3,027$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.4820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes47c2,716$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes67c2,644$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.389960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No53c2,390$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes41c2,237$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No54c1,998$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.694250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes44c1,923$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.062142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No55c1,891$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.2571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c1,865$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.6630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No53c1,775$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No6c1,602$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.443324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No52c1,573$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.112157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No54c1,511$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes41c1,500$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.865747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes42c1,436$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.285151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes46c1,376$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.093540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No10c1,366$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes68c1,329$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.233458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c1,297$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.7927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No59c1,202$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes45c1,130$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No53c1,106$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.127946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes78c1,090$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.969458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9611735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Yes68c1,063$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6056…2345backed No54c1,056$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes46c1,026$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.088333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes47c1,020$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7650…0ababacked No55c1,012$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No53c999.96$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.982015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No54c999.89$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes44c999.86$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.922445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed No54c907.93$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.353141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Yes46c830$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c823.27$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.8926041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43214654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes44c795.64$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes44c744.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.372147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes46c739.13$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No9c679.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.161457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5e…58efbacked No56c672.59$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes38c672.37$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.372352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes74c646$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No54c609.43$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.092962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes47c608.6$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.56875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked No6c600.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-78.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed No65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No14c599.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.421650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked No8c599.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked No55c580$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes65c570.02$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.125763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Yes47c568.09$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes68c561.83$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7812556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes63c556.72$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.722445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No10c553.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.841136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.91742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No54c522.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.154348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.