TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes31c12,721$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No72c8,060$5,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c7,023$4,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.971140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c4,216$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.0552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…bd61backed Yes1c3,900$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes32c3,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c2,981$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f85…9a75backed Yes31c2,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c2,050$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c1,957$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.9518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes34c1,777$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes6c1,660$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,500$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c1,479$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c1,469$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes29c1,468$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.868435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes31c1,088$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes34c904.35$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac36…e266backed Yes31c784.13$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes6c777.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes29c763.45$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No66c722$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.077060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c652.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.071,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c638.63$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes25c636.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes31c602$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.623324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c578.18$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes27c457$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.398143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes32c450.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144137.7%1 W · 12 L-5.0wins-0.39per pick46cpaid-84.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3933…4afabacked No72c406$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c387.32$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9427748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No70c375.01$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+49%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes28c346.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddc…4725backed Yes29c343.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6e…c82bbacked Yes32c339.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed No71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c297.2$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Yes31c288.06$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6912039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9710964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes28c273.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes29c272$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6835037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes28c267.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes5c254.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85ee…9f27backed Yes32c251.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c245.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5623342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No73c241.36$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2f…99f9backed Yes33c222.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes31c194.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-64%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes8c194.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7810938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c189.33$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.914250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No78c179.05$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.463360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes32c175.17$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes28c173.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.611729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac7e…4768backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+137.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c157.28$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c151.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No66c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.314544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No70c142.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.182962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Yes8c137.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes31c132.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.062825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c124.68$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8318046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9757…9191backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes27c101$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.275635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6618245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Yes28c96.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc875…9b86backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes28c92.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.943948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…d8a2backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.52955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03db…ce20backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Yes29c86.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No71c82.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.945763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No71c82.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.945463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No71c82.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No71c82.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.943458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.