TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd295…f12e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.43
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.86
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.13
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$21.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$107.45
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$85.67
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Macclesfield FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$372.08
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,196.4%+$169.68
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$405.55
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.09
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.74
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$64.56
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.63
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.83
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.34
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.81
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$179.16
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$338.67
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.1
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$43.11
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+101.1%+$30.32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$20.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.94
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+46%+$46.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Midland: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katherine Sebovbacked Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.