Tennis · resolved market

Midland: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katherine Sebov

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7682fef8cf22590e7dc1310985d830b8c7efdfd23843caf4c79bea8f8fba709f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Sebovof Krueger, Sebov
Resolved: Feb 16, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,983 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe911…3d4ebacked Krueger	34c	7,847$2,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.91	4,426	51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L	+136.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Krueger	56c	6,057$3,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,373.38	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sebov	57c	3,127$1,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.5	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sebov	46c	2,625$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.99	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sebov	47c	2,376$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.55	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sebov	44c	2,062$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.5	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Krueger	48c	1,666$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.95	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sebov	46c	1,631$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.59	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sebov	53c	1,522$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.35	470	57.2%269 W · 201 L	+16.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Sebov	17c	1,400$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.5	161	33.5%54 W · 107 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Krueger	53c	1,057$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.77	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc537…f385backed Krueger	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Krueger	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Sebov	37c	944.75$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.19	184	39.1%72 W · 112 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Krueger	67c	747.16$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.75	1,106	50.3%556 W · 550 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sebov	41c	731.95$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.95	1,841	48.5%892 W · 949 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Sebov	29c	693.35$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.68	261	31.4%82 W · 179 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked Sebov	40c	654.68$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.81	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Krueger	71c	653.53$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461	1,186	62.8%745 W · 441 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sebov	37c	477$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.28	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Krueger	33c	432.9$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.89	1,379	16.4%226 W · 1,153 L	-108.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Krueger	71c	419.63$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	+18.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Krueger	72c	417.81$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.11	398	72.4%288 W · 110 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sebov	29c	345.17$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.17	1,266	34.2%433 W · 833 L	-43.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Krueger	59c	343.06$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	693	50.5%350 W · 343 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sebov	39c	322.64$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.28	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Krueger	70c	285.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Sebov	27c	285$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.05	380	48.4%184 W · 196 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sebov	27c	225.76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.49	3,871	35%1,353 W · 2,518 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked Krueger	43c	218.68$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.8	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Sebov	60c	210$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	139	23.7%33 W · 106 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Sebov	29c	200$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142	193	38.9%75 W · 118 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+109.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Krueger	62c	197.06$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.77	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Krueger	71c	185.2$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.49	102	67.6%69 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Sebov	21c	181.45$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.53	680	26.2%178 W · 502 L	-24.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sebov	29c	178.1$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.45	781	52.8%412 W · 369 L	+21.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Sebov	75c	173.49$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.84	172	62.8%108 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Krueger	49c	162.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	95	43.2%41 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Krueger	73c	145.44$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.17	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sebov	30c	137.48$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.03	1,973	46.3%914 W · 1,059 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sebov	37c	111.67$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.9	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Sebov	28c	100.46$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.48	284	24.3%69 W · 215 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sebov	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Krueger	72c	100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	160	44.4%71 W · 89 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Krueger	61c	99.81$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.88	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Krueger	66c	99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.34	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Sebov	27c	94.54$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.01	328	42.7%140 W · 188 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Krueger	79c	79.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.44	4,934	41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L	-77.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3998…7f0fbacked Krueger	65c	77.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Krueger	73c	76.64$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.65	1,768	43.2%764 W · 1,004 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca3…0a58backed Krueger	70c	71.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Krueger	65c	71.21$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.52	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Sebov	53c	70.17$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.96	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Krueger	50c	66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+27%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sebov	24c	58.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.56	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc11d…421bbacked Krueger	37c	49.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	109	67%73 W · 36 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd295…f12ebacked Krueger	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Krueger	73c	49.06$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Krueger	45c	46.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Krueger	45c	43.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	599	54.9%329 W · 270 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Sebov	29c	42.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.12	968	44.4%430 W · 538 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Krueger	65c	40.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.44	619	53.3%330 W · 289 L	+18.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Krueger	72c	38.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.47	407	44%179 W · 228 L	-14.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Krueger	66c	37.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1,615	50.6%817 W · 798 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebov	50c	32.89$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.41	7,816	50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L	+95.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…80d0backed Krueger	49c	32.48$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed Krueger	63c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.69	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Krueger	67c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Krueger	66c	27.45$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Krueger	73c	27.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	990	56%554 W · 436 L	+32.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0662…e5debacked Krueger	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Krueger	49c	22.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Sebov	47c	21.53$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.41	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7692…bcc9backed Krueger	72c	20.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1986…0cd0backed Krueger	72c	20.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Krueger	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	164	68.9%113 W · 51 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Krueger	71c	18.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	68	64.7%44 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Krueger	72c	18.05$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	160	46.9%75 W · 85 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked Krueger	71c	18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	72cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e0…ad29backed Krueger	72c	15.28$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	94	70.2%66 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Midland: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katherine Sebovthis page
Set 1 Winner: Krueger vs SebovSebov won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Midland: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katherine Sebov

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event