TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes0c110,577$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.381650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+326.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c17,691$13,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,819.383,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes28c17,675$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes22c16,059$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.732025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c13,824$10,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,588.712,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c13,412$9,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.781,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes2c6,736$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.37911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c6,528$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.6484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes0c5,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c4,279$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.5614740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No75c4,059$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.532572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+88.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes26c3,840$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.991450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c2,244$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.4626022.3%58 W · 202 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c2,147$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.325157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes9c2,094$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c1,750$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No76c1,639$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8710055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes26c1,624$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4221741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No74c1,421$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c1,414$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.597143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c1,374$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.7291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…1cb6backed No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No75c1,196$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2996145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Yes24c1,101$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1098…10a7backed Yes9c1,100$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9940%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes25c1,052$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes17c900$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1542821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes26c746.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes27c735.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.581947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.441181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c663$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes12c608.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No70c589.62$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.899054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Yes11c563.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes29c562.3$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0750%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c521.94$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.538240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes12c516.67$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No71c513.22$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3863857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed No72c511$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.081877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No70c502.64$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7379532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254250%21 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12518049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes26c480.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes27c432.41$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes11c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1233…d58fbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c370.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.312,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes26c342.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883040%12 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1d…4da6backed Yes25c313.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c297.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.38949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Yes27c288.65$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes13c281.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes26c266.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.372821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x025c…b18abacked Yes10c257.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes26c252.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.611843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes10c249.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes25c244.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9588…29f7backed Yes26c238.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No72c235.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Yes26c234.96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes13c232$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.165550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No75c230.28$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.57862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes18c226.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…7af7backed Yes11c209.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c207.04$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8338247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes25c200.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.11566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4972…3450backed Yes25c196.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes26c195.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.721060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No77c191.24$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.266950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a74…49e7backed Yes27c185.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec0…75f5backed No71c183.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes24c172$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.424353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes29c170.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.