TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked No76c27,874$21,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,588.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c18,607$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.231,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes24c10,937$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.8843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c7,426$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.373,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No76c3,938$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.914740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes24c3,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8642744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes24c2,561$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.6413149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No76c2,446$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0411242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes22c2,399$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1f…4965backed Yes4c2,214$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.64520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No80c2,100$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No75c2,028$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.21693.8%15 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick70cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes26c1,943$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.182548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed Yes4c1,900$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No74c1,795$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.73444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No77c1,767$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.816145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5701…e344backed Yes25c1,688$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2147…a818backed Yes4c1,621$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.339954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No75c1,313$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.912572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c1,260$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c1,153$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.8725157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c1,100$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27533349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No76c930$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes24c900$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes25c830.48$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.315234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes3c508.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c440$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes23c404.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9311449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c329.39$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes6c324.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c317.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1644952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c295.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes24c262$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8818049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes15c218.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.612,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c208.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No75c203.2$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.23464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes19c186.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No77c175$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2510055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes14c164.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5510537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.54940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes23c134.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.832334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No76c131$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.442185.7%18 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.911562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes20c117.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.011650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked No76c115.92$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No79c111.11$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332425%6 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed Yes24c110$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes22c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x760d…0786backed Yes23c109$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca8…c044backed Yes27c107.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No76c101.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3812345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254818.8%9 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.588048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes25c89.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8d…4f17backed No76c85.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba01…76ebbacked No76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8311…3ed4backed Yes27c71.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-75.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked Yes24c71.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes27c70.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe39f…82e8backed Yes20c66.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes25c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8115949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes23c66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4735158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes25c63.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No76c57.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No76c51.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.442948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52dd…6f82backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…ab72backed Yes21c48.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes26c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x574d…1227backed No74c44.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2b…f6a8backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c43.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.23582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No74c43.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.313278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes27c42.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.412524%6 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090b…2f01backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…52b5backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46950.7%35 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.