TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,148 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c7,142$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes37c5,434$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.1715757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c4,144$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.772,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes36c3,186$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.1412532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.0150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No65c2,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes64c2,303$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.382,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c2,143$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.32,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c1,576$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.314,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4208…bb45backed Yes36c1,300$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No65c1,214$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.819272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No62c1,197$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.981,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No64c1,172$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9917557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes39c1,147$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.1549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c1,026$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.391,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c1,018$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes36c999.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9853134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No65c700$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac38…9420backed No65c560$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2c…f40fbacked No65c540$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3156050%30 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3257268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes72c499.53$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8718963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No64c481$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No65c378.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c330.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.711,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18925544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No64c239.05$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.137557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6817…6e58backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No41c198.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3922335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c174$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No64c150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5627151.7%140 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed No65c144.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.72268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+58.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6913727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes35c135.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.385633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No30c117.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No30c115.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3342324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No51c115.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.431747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No64c115$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes36c104.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0212236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd295…f12ebacked Yes69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.451822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c100.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3973458.6%430 W · 304 L+47.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6536259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.520763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No64c99.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.163953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba55…772fbacked No64c90.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.527354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No65c90$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.532357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No65c87.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6911450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed No31c86.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.671921.1%4 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.32per pick53cpaid-70%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3313635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked No20c77.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.582035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No65c75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No65c73.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.763243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes68c72.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.062737%10 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No35c70.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8216150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes70c64.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes39c64.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.245457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes39c63.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked No19c62.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.992416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-74.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No29c60.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3937554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3925456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3938358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3928359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes68c56.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.154158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No65c56.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8428255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes36c55.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.697537.3%28 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3525348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No65c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes36c49.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0420144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No31c48.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No65c48.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.226240.3%25 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No64c47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0835661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes35c42.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3823250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No63c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4618459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5428531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes57c39.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1919455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Yes71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes41c32.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…52e8backed No37c31.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No65c30.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No65c30.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked No65c30.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.517456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac4…7794backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.