Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90367633480c1a61ee48f4f0b96211e3c15728e533a6a050a5c3be2b85775457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,701 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 69c | 8,893$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.74 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 5,894$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.75 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 1,326$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.87 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 14c | 786.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 680.66$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 64c | 638.73$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 621.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 535.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 434.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 421.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 405.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 32c | 355.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 31c | 319$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 31c | 144.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 25c | 122.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 32c | 111.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 31c | 102.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 30c | 101.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 24c | 101.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 94.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed Yes | 31c | 79.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 75.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked No | 65c | 70.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 31c | 68.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 64c | 66.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 32c | 63.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 31c | 59.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Yes | 32c | 55.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 31c | 44.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.1wins | -0.32per pick | 53cpaid | -70%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 79c | 28.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…e451backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…1d19backed No | 69c | 14.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.