MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96066d68ab74d98385c3367fb2d64c9f080b798a4a5fa25bb9edd4ea0e3b82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Minnesota Twins, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 17,357$8,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,395.99 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 16,048$9,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.41 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 29c | 15,341$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.3 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 14,658$8,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 13,054$6,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.79 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 10,213$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.77 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 8,176$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.6 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 5,879$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 5,510$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.61 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 5,331$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.09 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 5,010$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.1 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 4,487$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.67 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 4,458$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,965$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…0e5cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 3,883$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Twins | 21c | 2,845$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,840$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,795$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.88 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 2,620$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.6 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,441$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.68 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 2,043$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.25 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,808$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.75 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,806$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.24 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,788$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,749$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,631$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.68 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,415$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.96 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,380$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.66 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,218$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.41 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,218$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.2 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.36 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,108$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.64 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,106$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.57 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,072$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.3 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,061$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,020$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.39 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,015$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.28 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.28 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 913.25$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 891$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 769.3$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 757.44$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 741.52$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 568$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 563.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…bd04backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…d6e6backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 499.78$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 496.45$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 462.71$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 431.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 366.72$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 355.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 338$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 325.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 322.76$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 316$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 311.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 309.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 299.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 299.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 298.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 295.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 265$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 240.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…9257backed Minnesota Twins | 79c | 239.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…af96backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 233.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 233.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 224.96$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 221.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 215$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 204.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 197.59$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 187.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 173$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 172.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.65 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 166.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 163.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 145.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 139.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.