South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7399ce3a1f8043ea07fa1d4ab8f34e6831511c38229a127e8265f6b08fa03219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,106 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 19,751$11,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,211.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 42c | 18,156$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,530.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 42c | 14,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 13,946$8,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,074.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 4,999$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.61 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 58c | 4,678$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 58c | 4,523$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.49 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 58c | 3,205$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.9 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 2,930$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.4 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 50c | 1,478$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.03 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 38c | 1,322$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.57 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 1,249$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.7 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 38c | 1,178$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.9 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 1,024$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 58c | 1,001$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.29 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked Under | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 58c | 568.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 557.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.36 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under | 64c | 468.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 38c | 413.85$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 411.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 44c | 383.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.67 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 381.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 58c | 380.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Over | 36c | 252$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 187.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 58c | 142.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 58c | 117.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Under | 59c | 108.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 87.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 38c | 81.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 42c | 76.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…b9abbacked Over | 69c | 73.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 27c | 61.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 59c | 59.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 37c | 57.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 42c | 50.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 43c | 48.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…5204backed Under | 58c | 46.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 58c | 46.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed Over | 44c | 45.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 58c | 43.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Under | 58c | 42.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 40.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 58c | 37.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Under | 58c | 34.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Under | 58c | 34.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Over | 37c | 29.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 43c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 52c | 27.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf53…16c4backed Under | 57c | 25.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 41c | 25.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 42c | 25.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Under | 55c | 24.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 44c | 23.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 58c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 58c | 19.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…f426backed Under | 58c | 18.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 76c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.