TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,106 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c19,751$11,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,211.775,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over42c18,156$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,530.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Over42c14,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,119.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c13,946$8,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.178,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Over42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9004339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over42c4,999$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.6116543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under58c4,678$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c4,523$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.498153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under58c3,205$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.923354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under58c2,930$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c1,750$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.293,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over50c1,478$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.0312354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over38c1,322$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.5715945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under59c1,249$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.711963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over38c1,178$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.911618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c1,024$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.549449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under58c1,001$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.2945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under58c568.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over43c557.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3639127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under64c468.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over38c413.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0415128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c411.44$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.672,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over44c383.35$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6713548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c381.62$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under58c380.52$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.720953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Over43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1212645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Over36c252$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264776.6%36 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c187.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.432,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under58c142.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5818140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under58c117.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2835758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Under59c108.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.392236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under29c87.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x034e…f79dbacked Over38c81.45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over42c76.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.211448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f48…b9abbacked Over69c73.81$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402080%16 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under27c61.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6337355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under59c59.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0111664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over37c57.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over42c50.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.571,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2917950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over43c48.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.262,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…37d5backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8a…5204backed Under58c46.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Under58c46.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.094656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over44c45.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over42c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under58c43.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2421359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over42c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.942544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under58c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9424253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Under58c42.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under56c40.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.691,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under58c37.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.764963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under58c34.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f23…6d15backed Under58c34.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Under58c34.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7210943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.722958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.724748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7517436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Over37c29.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.831392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over43c28.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34231%13 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over52c27.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4931355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf53…16c4backed Under57c25.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Over41c25.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.161338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over42c25.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5928231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Under55c24.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.518843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Over42c23.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8129053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under44c23.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.294955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under58c22.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.294566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under58c19.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.185940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1b…f426backed Under58c18.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over76c14.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.542360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.