South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a5714b291f94523cb9fbc599eb47916ee734f36a7ab58c4a2e1dfbdbce5b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,319$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 64c | 306.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 44c | 296.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 49c | 286.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 48c | 257.32$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 49c | 249.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 243.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 51c | 197.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 165$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 49c | 85.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 78.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 77.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 77.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed No | 53c | 72.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 49c | 59.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 52.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed No | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…e927backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked No | 52c | 37.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed No | 52c | 37.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…b40dbacked No | 53c | 36.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed No | 53c | 36.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…5f14backed No | 53c | 36.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 52c | 36.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed No | 51c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 51c | 21.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…0163backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.