La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf628f5737a278da81a57cafae1d428ae0ba86c9fc21b4fb03737a2449aadaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 42c | 70,471$29,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,949.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 20,823$12,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,007.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 11,310$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603.63 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 6,671$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 6,671$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.88 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 59c | 3,500$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.7 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 63c | 1,570$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.45 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 1,170$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.86 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.49 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 39c | 967.37$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 658.86$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.9 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 39c | 644.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 67c | 592.91$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.18 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 67c | 592.42$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.56 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 587.42$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.51 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 39c | 566.13$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.34 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 63c | 376.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 64c | 373.08$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 60c | 337$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 38c | 299.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Under | 60c | 251.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 60c | 232.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 58c | 200.78$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Over | 40c | 199.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 173.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 61c | 151.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 61c | 147.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 60c | 146.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 142.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 59c | 134.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 39c | 128.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 109.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 61c | 105.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 63c | 98.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 40c | 88.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Over | 38c | 78.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 75.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 63c | 69.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 59c | 67.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 39c | 62.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 62c | 58.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…e029backed Under | 58c | 51.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Over | 61c | 48.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Over | 36c | 46.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Under | 57c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 57c | 45.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 58c | 44.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 61c | 41.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 62c | 40.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 38.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 62c | 38.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658c…9b98backed Under | 61c | 34.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 38c | 29.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 63c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…688abacked Under | 59c | 26.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…a088backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 61c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…2b51backed Under | 61c | 23.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 57c | 23.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Under | 61c | 23.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 63c | 22.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 80c | 22.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed Under | 69c | 20.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 62c | 17.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…84ccbacked Under | 60c | 17.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Under | 61c | 17.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…e727backed Under | 61c | 17.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…f426backed Under | 61c | 17.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Under | 63c | 16.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5this page
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Granada CF (-2.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.