La Liga · resolved market
Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949e18291220b580765c12909cd81d9ac5436f0bd593fb255941ec04c8da3142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 22c | 93,770$20,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,521.27 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 77c | 30,352$23,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,371.35 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 18,109$14,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,302.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 7,318$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 78c | 6,516$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.71 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 80c | 2,838$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 21c | 1,329$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.94 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…f6b6backed Under | 77c | 846.75$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…9b8abacked Over | 23c | 846.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under | 34c | 783.69$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 79c | 742.14$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.75 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a2…bb2cbacked Under | 77c | 439.17$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…1415backed Over | 23c | 439.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 80c | 430.15$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.12 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…86c4backed Under | 77c | 398.49$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…d001backed Over | 23c | 398.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 56c | 342.86$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…56efbacked Over | 23c | 299.58$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 80c | 265.61$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 79c | 226.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 76c | 203.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 201.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…8670backed Over | 23c | 184.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…3345backed Under | 77c | 184.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…1e0fbacked Over | 23c | 161.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…aa49backed Under | 77c | 161.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…94dabacked Under | 77c | 159.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…6e29backed Over | 23c | 146.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 19cpaid | +236%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f6…f00abacked Under | 77c | 146.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…ad65backed Under | 77c | 140.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 25c | 108.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 80c | 101.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Over | 76c | 86.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 18c | 82.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 78c | 81.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 63.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 59c | 63.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 60.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 80c | 56.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 80c | 46.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 79c | 37.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 80c | 23.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…a088backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 76c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…ca79backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 3.5this page
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5Over won
- Granada CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Granada CF (-1.5)Granada CF won
- Spread: Granada CF (-2.5)SD Huesca won
- Spread: SD Huesca (-1.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.