Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb325dcb02101279c2a5bb27dda4d09d5dc3cecc56f162de344d3b3fea2be3ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,048,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,048,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 43c | 2,898,603$1,243,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243,474.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 57c | 1,745,306$993,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751,867.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 219,021$125,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,729.45 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 169,310$74,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,343.93 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 60c | 129,657$77,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,862.87 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 57c | 106,681$60,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,876.41 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Yes | 41c | 99,582$40,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,828.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 58c | 83,346$48,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,005.44 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 81,780$47,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,930.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 57c | 74,000$42,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,820 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked No | 60c | 67,802$40,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,180.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…ed71backed No | 59c | 55,567$32,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,782.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 55,384$32,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,129.16 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 53,574$31,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,459.71 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 58c | 46,750$27,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,522.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 46,446$26,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,971.6 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 64c | 38,500$24,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,680.6 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Yes | 42c | 38,128$16,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,013.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 41c | 38,120$15,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,629.39 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 58c | 35,494$20,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,907.39 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 58c | 35,350$20,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,967.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 34,780$19,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,869.86 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 58c | 31,431$18,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,054.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 40c | 28,888$11,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,555.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 23,500$13,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,980 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 57c | 22,787$12,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,798.35 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 57c | 20,143$11,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,661.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 19,667$12,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.02 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 23c | 16,041$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.83 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 61c | 12,045$7,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 59c | 11,932$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.9 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 40c | 11,773$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 58c | 9,519$5,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.04 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 8,311$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 59c | 5,949$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.17 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 4,995$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.82 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 40c | 4,975$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.92 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 58c | 4,799$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 60c | 4,474$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 60c | 3,966$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.56 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 56c | 3,600$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 3,207$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 57c | 2,955$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.98 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 2,935$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.66 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 2,898$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.66 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 58c | 2,839$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 40c | 2,479$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 39c | 2,471$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 57c | 2,222$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.46 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 39c | 2,217$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 40c | 2,123$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.24 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 39c | 2,105$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.09 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed No | 58c | 1,992$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 62c | 1,984$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,728$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…13dfbacked No | 60c | 1,724$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…8550backed Yes | 40c | 1,702$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 59c | 1,516$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.23 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,412$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.28 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Yes | 41c | 1,407$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 59c | 1,373$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.08 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 57c | 1,330$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 59c | 1,289$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,209$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed No | 63c | 1,204$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.02 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 40c | 1,184$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.69 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 59c | 1,070$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 41c | 991.53$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.53 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 58c | 976.95$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.32 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 57c | 898.28$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.26 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 40c | 818.07$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 59c | 817.72$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…d897backed No | 60c | 793.28$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Yes | 41c | 743.65$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 40c | 737.24$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…32a2backed Yes | 41c | 733.73$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 699.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 40c | 694.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…a0f1backed No | 60c | 684.2$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 59c | 661.93$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 41c | 628.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 37c | 605$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Yes | 40c | 601.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 58c | 577$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.34 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 13c | 571.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 63c | 552.67$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed No | 44c | 535.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…fb5bbacked Yes | 41c | 518.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 43c | 517.71$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.18 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.