Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e45f89c275a07dce4dfb5397dab616c5579682747bab6e4b2fcfb288493a19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,762$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 3,819$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 1c | 3,583$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…22a0backed No | 2c | 3,226$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 9c | 2,666$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.94 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…c76cbacked No | 1c | 2,039$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 19c | 1,578$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…59c2backed No | 1c | 1,301$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5923backed No | 1c | 1,141$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 1,066$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 69c | 921.69$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.41 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…3a93backed Yes | 21c | 803$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed No | 6c | 770.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 38c | 762.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 663.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 78c | 646$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 21c | 623$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 38c | 604.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 22c | 550$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 79c | 540$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 3c | 499.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 79c | 495$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 35c | 402.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 394.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed No | 5c | 391.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked No | 7c | 388.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 79c | 308$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 78c | 291$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 33c | 239.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 22c | 223.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 212.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 76c | 180.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 176.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…6ef8backed Yes | 33c | 170$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 159.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…7036backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…3bcdbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 30c | 154.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 34c | 150.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…6fc0backed Yes | 55c | 149$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 67c | 146.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Yes | 30c | 146.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 140.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 22c | 96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 66c | 87.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 79c | 83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9893…b2cebacked Yes | 31c | 66.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 32c | 61.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…5d59backed Yes | 76c | 60.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…0048backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…4a0dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…34d9backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…db61backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked No | 76c | 36.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…06babacked No | 77c | 34.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a82…caa6backed Yes | 62c | 31.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.