Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1ccd24de023decad113b83737c8a647002b285511a71f66ea88b3c26eb2fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,424$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 12c | 1,874$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…175cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,723$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 57c | 1,308$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.62 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 57c | 761.66$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…9173backed Yes | 2c | 536.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 506.94$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 49c | 404.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 43c | 293.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Yes | 45c | 289.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 49c | 257.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 53c | 248.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 230.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…c12bbacked Yes | 15c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.26per pick | 10cpaid | +359.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…c131backed Yes | 43c | 196.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 55c | 187.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Yes | 58c | 173.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 58c | 167.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 45c | 146.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 34c | 138.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…ce73backed Yes | 35c | 115.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…4c7abacked Yes | 47c | 106.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 48c | 106.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…2fe2backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 43c | 99.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 66c | 91.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 33c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eda…0048backed Yes | 48c | 82.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 46c | 81.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…437dbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…ee4dbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 48c | 66.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.41per pick | 50cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 55.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 50.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…00cdbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c59…b125backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…400ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…3984backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…ae6abacked Yes | 47c | 40.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1175…314cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…4d2abacked Yes | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…69debacked Yes | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…260ebacked Yes | 46c | 34.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…f8d0backed No | 54c | 32.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 65c | 30.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…eea9backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…2ef4backed Yes | 43c | 27.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0b…e18dbacked Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4200…5d5cbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…6012backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.