Token Launches · resolved market
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098837eb19d1e59d27359b4c25c5ad8b5185a585f1d79849598abf1928c6c18f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $843,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63c2…2c46backed No | 52c | 64,078$33,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,901.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…4085backed Yes | 37c | 45,448$16,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,705.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 72c | 41,382$29,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,801.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…d4e5backed Yes | 9c | 38,399$3,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…c3c2backed Yes | 22c | 36,425$8,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,113.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 71c | 34,916$24,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,291.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…f5fcbacked Yes | 44c | 27,369$12,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,077.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8506…10eabacked No | 70c | 19,256$13,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 42c | 18,128$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,541.6 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked No | 67c | 15,820$10,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…9564backed Yes | 37c | 13,607$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 1c | 13,459$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed Yes | 3c | 11,541$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x233d…3018backed Yes | 3c | 10,871$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…9fb2backed Yes | 27c | 10,237$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…41ccbacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5830backed Yes | 9c | 9,860$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 36c | 9,236$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,947.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Yes | 17c | 8,159$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed Yes | 26c | 8,076$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…f637backed Yes | 49c | 7,998$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…265ebacked No | 73c | 7,909$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 42c | 7,748$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.36 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…192dbacked No | 77c | 7,460$5,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 22c | 7,420$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…2f87backed Yes | 42c | 7,296$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…5428backed Yes | 37c | 7,059$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…709dbacked No | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…2d0fbacked Yes | 22c | 6,734$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 9c | 6,500$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.33 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…43babacked Yes | 20c | 6,226$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 5,637$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 10c | 5,470$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3057…7a96backed Yes | 78c | 5,396$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.78 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…84e8backed Yes | 8c | 5,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…b3afbacked Yes | 26c | 5,215$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493d…538cbacked Yes | 66c | 5,087$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…4428backed No | 31c | 4,969$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 35cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2043backed Yes | 16c | 4,696$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…6979backed No | 76c | 4,500$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 4,429$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.78 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…9c20backed No | 27c | 4,383$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…5606backed Yes | 28c | 4,365$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…0b12backed Yes | 1c | 4,259$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…8dbfbacked Yes | 27c | 4,228$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 10c | 4,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…136cbacked Yes | 36c | 4,056$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…c245backed Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…331dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,912$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…46aebacked Yes | 3c | 3,864$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…acbabacked No | 78c | 3,826$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…afc4backed Yes | 27c | 3,769$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 6c | 3,709$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…8548backed Yes | 26c | 3,633$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…58c9backed Yes | 33c | 3,617$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 35c | 3,598$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 61c | 3,563$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166.24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…5090backed Yes | 32c | 3,546$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfaebacked No | 30c | 3,532$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 24c | 3,372$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.33 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,364$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…10e8backed No | 30c | 3,340$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +234%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…9a61backed Yes | 14c | 3,335$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec5…5629backed Yes | 31c | 3,259$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc693…6bc3backed Yes | 31c | 3,185$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49a…9805backed Yes | 38c | 3,182$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked No | 70c | 3,148$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 3c | 3,131$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Yes | 31c | 3,104$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…9b5dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,956$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…4354backed No | 63c | 2,929$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…c01fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,703$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…0d93backed No | 72c | 2,698$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…e4cfbacked No | 64c | 2,667$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…eb5ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,660$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…cdf3backed Yes | 19c | 2,480$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…b1b2backed Yes | 36c | 2,427$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes | 28c | 2,386$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 41c | 2,316$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.23 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…d4b9backed No | 47c | 2,200$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…253cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,157$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…f722backed Yes | 55c | 2,124$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…16a7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…8ee0backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Yes | 76c | 1,992$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…dd0dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,985$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…ccbbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,960$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…8ec5backed Yes | 74c | 1,943$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8202…d78dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,904$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…0b9abacked Yes | 60c | 1,900$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d47…d584backed No | 77c | 1,898$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…4f56backed Yes | 1c | 1,832$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +464.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…9b9dbacked No | 28c | 1,800$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,736$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.47 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…e39ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,721$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…3d02backed Yes | 9c | 1,693$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 36c | 1,634$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.71 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,603$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,602$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?this page
- Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.