TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c70…ccbb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.24
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KukuysV3 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$2,112.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25.2%+$48.3
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+144.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,306.98
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,320
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+483.2%+$1,697.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$490
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$148.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+36.6%+$26.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$199.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$107.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.