Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x255f8b9b4f6bfa961de6d33d3f80f1bd8f0aefa4d71d53ca55843d335b85f6d5

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: BetBoom Teamof MOUZ, BetBoom Team
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,251 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac0d…b006backed BetBoom Team	56c	21,476$11,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,554.75	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ	45c	14,384$6,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,473.77	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ	2c	6,040$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.4	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked BetBoom Team	54c	5,223$2,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,420.21	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ	45c	5,218$2,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,347.98	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ	40c	3,797$1,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.86	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ	46c	3,553$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,616.91	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ	19c	3,398$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.06	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ	15c	3,170$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.34	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MOUZ	43c	2,941$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,261.08	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed MOUZ	45c	2,207$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.99	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed BetBoom Team	55c	2,205$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.16	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed BetBoom Team	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	128	51.6%66 W · 62 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ	7c	1,400$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ	12c	1,156$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ	26c	1,140$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.62	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc439…3aabbacked BetBoom Team	52c	1,130$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.4	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed MOUZ	2c	1,100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	108	50%54 W · 54 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked BetBoom Team	58c	1,033$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.76	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ	28c	841.97$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.21	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ	43c	730.72$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.68	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ	24c	688.24$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.53	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc56e…453cbacked MOUZ	28c	684.71$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked BetBoom Team	55c	650$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.5	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…9d09backed MOUZ	46c	647.75$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked BetBoom Team	58c	603.45$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.45	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BetBoom Team	55c	530.2$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.59	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7643…4c6dbacked MOUZ	31c	480$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed MOUZ	45c	479.98$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.99	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed BetBoom Team	58c	472.27$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.27	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed BetBoom Team	58c	431.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.03	264	53%140 W · 124 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0942…f42fbacked MOUZ	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed BetBoom Team	79c	351.33$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.95	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked BetBoom Team	56c	339$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.16	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed BetBoom Team	58c	314.05$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.05	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed BetBoom Team	58c	294.83$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.83	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf7…0e79backed MOUZ	45c	250.2$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.59	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ	43c	232.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	140	39.3%55 W · 85 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team	56c	222$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.68	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ	6c	202.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	180	75%135 W · 45 L	+18.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c70…ccbbbacked MOUZ	23c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48dc…fb0cbacked MOUZ	7c	195.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	22cpaid	+59%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed BetBoom Team	56c	177$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed BetBoom Team	56c	172.41$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.86	275	48%132 W · 143 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed BetBoom Team	63c	167.05$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.09	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9a…28cebacked BetBoom Team	75c	163.12$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.13	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed BetBoom Team	54c	161.82$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.82	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	203	39.9%81 W · 122 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked MOUZ	10c	115.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed BetBoom Team	51c	113.66$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.34	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158f…09f1backed MOUZ	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	197	43.1%85 W · 112 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed BetBoom Team	59c	103.25$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.33	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…74bdbacked MOUZ	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fde…f184backed MOUZ	18c	100.06$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed MOUZ	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed BetBoom Team	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2477…700ebacked BetBoom Team	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.22	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47f…41f9backed MOUZ	37c	82.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed BetBoom Team	67c	57.16$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.82	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x169d…73f6backed MOUZ	38c	53.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb4e…5ff1backed BetBoom Team	58c	51.9$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x637f…f51ebacked BetBoom Team	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	282	44%124 W · 158 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked BetBoom Team	62c	49.31$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed BetBoom Team	53c	47.17$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.17	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ	42c	45.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	218	51.8%113 W · 105 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea4…f4acbacked MOUZ	45c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed MOUZ	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked MOUZ	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	236	40.7%96 W · 140 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	393	51.1%201 W · 192 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf014…d442backed MOUZ	36c	36.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2154…41f1backed MOUZ	45c	32.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc0…5f47backed BetBoom Team	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed BetBoom Team	58c	29.65$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed BetBoom Team	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ac…1494backed MOUZ	43c	25.48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed BetBoom Team	59c	25.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	111	63.1%70 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)MOUZ won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event