Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb082ea57b2cf0f827db656ad263604936c444d74e7e99b32fcb477d741ef783b

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof MOUZ, BetBoom Team
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,130 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ	46c	20,708$9,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,282.77	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked BetBoom Team	69c	19,422$13,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,486.47	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	72cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked BetBoom Team	58c	12,747$7,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,443.07	158	52.5%83 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ	29c	10,406$3,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,385.66	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked BetBoom Team	54c	9,999$5,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.42	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked MOUZ	55c	6,834$3,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,085.09	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team	54c	6,567$3,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,524.21	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed MOUZ	41c	5,300$2,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,127	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed BetBoom Team	1c	3,818$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed BetBoom Team	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team	54c	2,939$1,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.69	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked BetBoom Team	55c	2,677$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.82	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a3…4ebebacked MOUZ	39c	2,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed BetBoom Team	56c	1,961$1,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,093.81	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ	38c	1,876$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.65	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ	48c	1,873$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.21	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed MOUZ	40c	1,802$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.03	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked BetBoom Team	60c	1,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ	52c	1,344$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.64	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99e1backed BetBoom Team	55c	1,200$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ	64c	1,181$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.39	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked BetBoom Team	58c	1,073$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.31	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa973…30b1backed BetBoom Team	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7643…4c6dbacked MOUZ	47c	855.8$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.87	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56e…453cbacked MOUZ	32c	838.47$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.16	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BetBoom Team	52c	836.18$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.61	226	47.3%107 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc439…3aabbacked BetBoom Team	28c	820$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.9	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ	40c	777.37$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.42	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ	51c	750$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.5	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed MOUZ	42c	667.5$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.48	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed MOUZ	76c	650$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed BetBoom Team	60c	620$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ	49c	606.87$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.87	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BetBoom Team	54c	600$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed MOUZ	34c	588.24$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.24	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ	44c	568.6$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.63	197	43.1%85 W · 112 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed BetBoom Team	58c	518.16$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed BetBoom Team	4c	477.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	50%54 W · 54 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed MOUZ	65c	387.78$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.75	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked MOUZ	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team	4c	371.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked BetBoom Team	53c	346.58$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.98	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f35…17f1backed BetBoom Team	9c	337.27$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed BetBoom Team	25c	310.98$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed BetBoom Team	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c70…ccbbbacked BetBoom Team	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ	43c	300$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	275	48%132 W · 143 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed BetBoom Team	59c	298.99$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.4	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed MOUZ	59c	283.66$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.79	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ	47c	213.96$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.96	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed BetBoom Team	54c	206.25$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.37	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…74bdbacked BetBoom Team	58c	204.72$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.74	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed BetBoom Team	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked BetBoom Team	55c	125$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ	67c	122.46$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.66	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc457…74c2backed BetBoom Team	13c	117.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x158f…09f1backed BetBoom Team	59c	110.17$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed BetBoom Team	39c	108.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed BetBoom Team	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-3.7wins	-0.22per pick	63cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa17…3aa2backed BetBoom Team	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb10…bdd3backed MOUZ	41c	97.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.56	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed BetBoom Team	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.2wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a9a…28cebacked MOUZ	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9941…158fbacked BetBoom Team	44c	85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ	44c	82.43$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.16	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3044…86f0backed MOUZ	38c	78.68$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.68	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.40per pick	43cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed BetBoom Team	55c	72.76$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.02	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed MOUZ	39c	59.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.59	240	26.7%64 W · 176 L	-30.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed BetBoom Team	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked MOUZ	43c	53$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.21	236	40.7%96 W · 140 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed MOUZ	43c	46.51$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.51	153	41.2%63 W · 90 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed MOUZ	46c	43.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.54	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed MOUZ	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed BetBoom Team	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b6…1765backed MOUZ	36c	40$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team	36c	38.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked BetBoom Team	64c	38.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.66	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ	43c	35$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.95	393	51.1%201 W · 192 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…702bbacked BetBoom Team	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf787…6bb4backed BetBoom Team	56c	27.86$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed BetBoom Team	58c	22.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb1…4ee0backed BetBoom Team	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+143.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed MOUZ	53c	18.89$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20e8…7960backed BetBoom Team	70c	17.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3)MOUZ won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event