Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5299a37de111d333f3320cbc3b64bc3d9e3a27564779510758c03f7cc0efd4ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, KukuysV3
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed GLYPH | 30c | 869.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.82 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked KukuysV3 | 80c | 826$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.8 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed GLYPH | 48c | 422.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed KukuysV3 | 45c | 343.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 54c | 309.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 26c | 283.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed KukuysV3 | 45c | 265.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed KukuysV3 | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed GLYPH | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed KukuysV3 | 63c | 130.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GLYPH | 18c | 129.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed KukuysV3 | 76c | 108.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed KukuysV3 | 60c | 98.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 36c | 43.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed KukuysV3 | 52c | 36.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked KukuysV3 | 45c | 30.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KukuysV3 | 64c | 28.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked GLYPH | 78c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed GLYPH | 61c | 25.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…ccbbbacked KukuysV3 | 64c | 24.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…d1d1backed KukuysV3 | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 1 WinnerKukuysV3 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.