Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32621ebb268bae3e014a483e4eefa5874546270d613385566312f73221e9a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KukuysV3of GLYPH, KukuysV3
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed GLYPH | 60c | 605.12$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed KukuysV3 | 40c | 602.51$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed GLYPH | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked KukuysV3 | 38c | 589.63$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.3 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed KukuysV3 | 40c | 589.02$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GLYPH | 62c | 498.76$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GLYPH | 65c | 275.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked GLYPH | 12c | 194.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KukuysV3 | 34c | 127.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed KukuysV3 | 43c | 99.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked GLYPH | 65c | 90.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GLYPH | 50c | 73.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KukuysV3 | 35c | 53.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked KukuysV3 | 35c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed KukuysV3 | 68c | 46.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 47c | 32.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked KukuysV3 | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed KukuysV3 | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs KukuysV3 - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.