TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Yellow Submarine
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$432,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Yellow Submarine49c48,831$23,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,723.9432549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine62c36,090$22,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,445.8896357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Power Rangers35c24,503$8,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,861.7545139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Yellow Submarine65c21,453$13,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,966.8621650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers53c18,931$9,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,936.271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers37c18,711$6,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,828.3271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Power Rangers76c15,638$11,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.4850449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Power Rangers37c13,513$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.1528159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine66c13,315$8,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7321,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yellow Submarine1c11,917$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.722171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Power Rangers77c10,076$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.8530667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Power Rangers39c10,041$3,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,076.7469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine60c9,750$5,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,824.280056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine42c8,436$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.1889341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine54c7,749$4,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.081,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Yellow Submarine2c6,295$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7622031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Yellow Submarine42c5,863$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.3147146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Power Rangers50c5,210$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.2353652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Power Rangers59c5,130$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.1838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yellow Submarine62c5,115$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Yellow Submarine19c5,087$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.671,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Power Rangers46c4,829$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.6610045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Power Rangers57c4,723$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.6345352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Power Rangers50c4,558$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.2343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Power Rangers38c4,431$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.9412141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Power Rangers57c4,258$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.9853764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Power Rangers35c4,111$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,654.061,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yellow Submarine63c4,021$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.7250850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Power Rangers55c3,985$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.5233453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Power Rangers39c3,250$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.4631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Power Rangers59c3,137$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.3423561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Yellow Submarine63c3,119$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.9521158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Power Rangers36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9924246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Power Rangers64c3,000$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.2115050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Yellow Submarine42c3,000$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.9951544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0bd8…a74abacked Yellow Submarine2c2,900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633116.1%5 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine61c2,829$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.5661256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Power Rangers41c2,652$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.3310051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Power Rangers39c2,579$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.442352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x910e…29bcbacked Power Rangers37c2,430$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.885147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Power Rangers44c2,149$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.5834442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed Power Rangers40c2,064$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+73.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Power Rangers57c2,001$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.996445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Yellow Submarine1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yellow Submarine61c1,958$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.155244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine57c1,916$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024154.8%132 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Power Rangers37c1,894$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.5642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked Power Rangers74c1,844$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.422450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Power Rangers36c1,673$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.221,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yellow Submarine61c1,650$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.3556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Yellow Submarine59c1,606$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.2718549.7%92 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Power Rangers73c1,598$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.4830356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f9…d72ebacked Yellow Submarine63c1,563$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.473256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Yellow Submarine4c1,521$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60375.4%2 W · 35 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Yellow Submarine47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.749242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Yellow Submarine61c1,414$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.7811758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Power Rangers35c1,410$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.525935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine48c1,406$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.232,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine64c1,391$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.4933867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Power Rangers72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8933041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine42c1,358$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.231,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Yellow Submarine38c1,271$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5526247.7%125 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine47c1,268$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.331,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Power Rangers40c1,265$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7595244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Yellow Submarine64c1,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine31c1,244$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.811,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…c05fbacked Yellow Submarine1c1,200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.816932.5%55 W · 114 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Power Rangers37c1,198$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.7435637.1%132 W · 224 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Power Rangers44c1,190$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.2553558.9%315 W · 220 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Power Rangers37c1,166$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2922461.2%137 W · 87 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers38c1,161$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.591,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Power Rangers52c1,160$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.679159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Yellow Submarine4c1,130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.013243.1%10 W · 314 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Power Rangers38c1,130$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.89636.5%35 W · 61 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yellow Submarine61c1,125$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.253447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers36c1,119$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.4453444.4%237 W · 297 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers44c1,116$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.461,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Power Rangers37c1,081$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.0341042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Power Rangers41c1,059$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.0761057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Power Rangers33c1,047$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.061,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers53c1,022$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.2790753.7%487 W · 420 L+50.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Power Rangers37c1,000$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.1750769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Power Rangers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Power Rangers41c999.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59013635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9969235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Power Rangers38c983$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.9588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Power Rangers41c975.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.616053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Yellow Submarine30c932.4$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7218437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Yellow Submarine51c931.99$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8810961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine62c931.19$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.771,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Power Rangers57c926.81$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.228360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Power Rangers36c900.16$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.221,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine51c900$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7396245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Power Rangers42c859.84$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.8431936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Yellow Submarine50c854$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42728347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Yellow Submarine59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015050.7%76 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Yellow Submarine60c824.03$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6625259.1%149 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Power Rangers45c810$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.0131052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Power Rangers36c803.45$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3350353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked Yellow Submarine30c800$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2949644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.