Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d816174cbbc0a7f87e531d6ad4e5cae9fce50d0c6bc6c049f8f823e545ee1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Yellow Submarine, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 624.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 562.11$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers | 68c | 338.13$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Power Rangers | 68c | 322.42$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Power Rangers | 69c | 192.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Power Rangers | 67c | 90.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Power Rangers | 67c | 83.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Power Rangers | 71c | 70.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Power Rangers | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…6ef5backed Power Rangers | 70c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Power Rangers | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Power Rangers | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Power Rangers | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.