TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes21c8,053$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.824,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes20c5,455$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.7569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes18c4,797$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.6690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed No71c3,867$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.241080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c3,050$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79315516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No58c2,297$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.547443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Yes23c1,720$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1dc8backed No75c1,679$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.95850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c8…8272backed No76c1,395$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c1,281$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.983,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes23c998.81$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.735040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes11c850.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.542213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes21c769.92$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8925248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No77c703.45$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7921641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c668.72$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.81,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c645$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked No77c597.4$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.41752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes24c583.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0314854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No75c554.79$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No74c533.58$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9123452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810c…51cabacked No78c514.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.21666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c472.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8616926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No77c465.7$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.112040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610063%63 W · 37 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e5…f917backed Yes24c368.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes24c349.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes25c338.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.593930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes24c335$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.414540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x795d…d358backed No77c322.08$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.512470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No68c309.49$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.492564%16 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes21c300.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.63777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No79c279.43$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No77c270.7$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.164259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f5…544fbacked Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602552%13 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa23b…db15backed No75c217$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8212917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2651…3471backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4615049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c185$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No77c182.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.021866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Yes12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked No60c166.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.893036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b03…ac24backed Yes18c164.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…3560backed No77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdff…8bd9backed No77c155.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes27c148.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes28c145.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9779133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda8a…223cbacked No77c136.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa357…b704backed No77c135.36$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd137…1ad0backed No77c135.15$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa32b…f347backed No77c134.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff39…7a9abacked No77c133.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9735…e59bbacked No77c133.35$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90e…9f65backed No77c133.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc493…3962backed No77c133.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff0…f8fcbacked No77c132.38$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7013…ece9backed No77c132.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…7bb4backed No77c131.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ee…6f95backed No76c131.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.761163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2e…043abacked No77c131.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…6a05backed No77c131.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64b…fb2dbacked No77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.874454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435f…5ca0backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86db…e44dbacked No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes12c116.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes26c116$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.77631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c09…df0bbacked No78c113.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.051566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes19c108.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9721842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes19c107.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c107$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No75c103.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8314759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…9973backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick38cpaid+90.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Yes25c99.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.992955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No77c91.95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.159158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b0…310bbacked Yes13c87.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88b3…c085backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b39…c6babacked Yes24c81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.426641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked No75c75.39$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.857255.6%40 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No77c73.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8824047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes22c71.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.793951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…502cbacked No78c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb470…eb53backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.