La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33df713af6255970fd1e1268c164c0114f1b012eb075123366fec5303d91806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 2,953$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 4,868 | 47%2,287 W · 2,581 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 77c | 2,005$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.05 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 16c | 1,871$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 1,567$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.36 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,489$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,334$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 1,108$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 3c | 878.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 5c | 858.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 22c | 589.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 502.18$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 22c | 423.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 418.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 406$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 20c | 394.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 75c | 193.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 79c | 125.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 77c | 109.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 78c | 104.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 97.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 865 | 50.4%436 W · 429 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Yes | 22c | 93.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5253backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 74.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 22c | 68.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7a…85bfbacked Yes | 25c | 63.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 52.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 21c | 48.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 78c | 33.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 79c | 29.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 3,613 | 42.6%1,540 W · 2,073 L | +25.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed No | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…f994backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 78c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 78c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 493 | 56.8%280 W · 213 L | +25.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…9328backed No | 79c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 78c | 16.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…0dffbacked No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 79c | 12.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis vs. Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.