La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bdc5cb2392f20ba485c95ece69080843e89095f956e2be669d02aa33796320b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 42c | 5,575$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 39c | 4,429$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 61c | 3,407$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,592$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 42c | 1,107$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.15 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 40c | 876.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.42 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 855.25$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.5 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 40c | 700.63$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes | 59c | 510.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 45c | 496.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…9411backed No | 66c | 452.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed No | 41c | 449.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 61c | 427.87$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…02c5backed Yes | 69c | 313.14$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…4efabacked No | 41c | 192$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 60c | 190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…3b7bbacked Yes | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…06d7backed Yes | 61c | 165$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…b7bebacked No | 45c | 148.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 40c | 126.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 58c | 121$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…21d7backed No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed No | 44c | 107.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7c30backed Yes | 61c | 83.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…bb17backed Yes | 51c | 69.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…a5e4backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…87a5backed Yes | 58c | 62.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…9364backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…5334backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…dc86backed No | 41c | 38.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01c…3372backed Yes | 59c | 33.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…0bd9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…b120backed Yes | 60c | 32.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…4322backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad83…992bbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-0.5)Atletico Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.