La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e68bf96f3c8c8d95dd06494319f078315e6e572da2218d570c70ab3c400df52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 49c | 36,085$17,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,410.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…cdc7backed Under | 48c | 16,146$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,395.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…9c44backed Over | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,319.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 52c | 9,600$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 54c | 9,289$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.49 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 8,471$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.86 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 51c | 7,915$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.65 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…907cbacked Under | 49c | 5,917$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 52c | 3,126$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.58 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 52c | 2,153$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 52c | 2,124$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 51c | 2,005$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.55 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…3d37backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc7…4fafbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 52c | 1,690$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Under | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Under | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 40c | 941.5$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.07 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Under | 36c | 877.33$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 44c | 827.38$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.38 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Over | 66c | 565.71$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 47c | 489$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Under | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Over | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…1a7dbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 48c | 333$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 52c | 251.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 63c | 251.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 247.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…659ebacked Over | 52c | 214$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Over | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 193.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 46c | 192.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 37c | 125$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 120.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…60afbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7c30backed Over | 53c | 92.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Under | 33c | 91.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 52c | 89.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 42c | 82.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…d867backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…f01abacked Over | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f7…e1d8backed Over | 54c | 72.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Over | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 52.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…35b5backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…96bcbacked Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 44c | 48.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…1ce2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…4896backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…b07dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 50c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…d786backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…a5e4backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 74c | 28.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…0be5backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…dc38backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838e…18c1backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfc…1a07backed Over | 73c | 22.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 52c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…1957backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Atletico Madrid (-0.5)Atletico Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.