TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under49c36,085$17,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,410.34852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e7…cdc7backed Under48c16,146$7,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,395.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7225…9c44backed Over52c16,000$8,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,319.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over52c9,600$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9924922.4%11 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over54c9,289$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.494235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under46c8,471$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.8627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over51c7,915$4,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,026.654141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Under49c5,917$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over52c3,126$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.589052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over52c2,153$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.343345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over52c2,124$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.861872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over51c2,005$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.553756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ca…3d37backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc7…4fafbacked Under50c2,000$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over52c1,690$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Under47c1,011$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under48c999.96$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under40c941.5$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.074528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7902…170cbacked Under36c877.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Under44c827.38$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.3811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5060…79c4backed Over66c565.71$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under47c489$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1715851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdd…ea84backed Under49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.52055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc6…1a7dbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17511457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under48c333$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.164753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36e1…2ee8backed Over52c251.54$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under63c251.45$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c247.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.224,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over52c230$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.62548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c0…659ebacked Over52c214$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95f…c250backed Over52c194$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over52c193.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.455952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under46c192.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8414645.2%66 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Under49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.069949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under50c126$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under37c125$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2542557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over54c120.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1122638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Over52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick64cpaid-42.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525440.7%22 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508261%50 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick55cpaid+59.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbc8…60afbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b2…7c30backed Over53c92.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Under33c91.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+147.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over52c89.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under42c82.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…d867backed Over52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…f01abacked Over79c75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f7…e1d8backed Over54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e42…b020backed Over80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under31c52.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26db…35b5backed Over75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d7…8b82backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…96bcbacked Over78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under44c48.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2217155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…1ce2backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b75…4896backed Under50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.413826.8%37 W · 101 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa96b…6565backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…b07dbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ca…fd12backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under50c35.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.851526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf52…d786backed Under32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…a5e4backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over74c28.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.388236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.284850%24 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf937…6b43backed Under63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45752.6%30 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd510…0be5backed Over72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd217…dc38backed Under48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x838e…18c1backed Over54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dfc…1a07backed Over73c22.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x825a…ece6backed Over56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Over52c20.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22657.7%15 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x216e…1957backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.