TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xad72…b07d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$15.27
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$31.86
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.59
Real Betis vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$37.41
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$29.65
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.17
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$26.18
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23.9
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$16.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.13
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$6.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.