TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No45c27,985$12,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,593.261936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Yes55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.552556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No10c2,175$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.126930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c1,904$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.194,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes80c1,662$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.7427453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c1,299$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.963,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No45c1,250$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No48c969.38$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.9512551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf5…ef29backed No46c893$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes55c818.18$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1811457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked Yes57c775.56$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c745.89$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1128055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes54c650.8$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.373141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No46c599.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.992733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes53c531.91$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c69…9e30backed Yes56c529.68$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c524.29$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9325648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Yes56c506.61$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.911154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes55c501.82$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.826426.6%17 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes55c499.47$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.766753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No44c461.05$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.865616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Yes68c417.28$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No46c382.58$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.992060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No9c349.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes57c317.54$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes70c301$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.312251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3045…f067backed No22c285.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed No45c249.94$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.471225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No46c236.82$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes55c223.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.641283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No46c206.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4420255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No14c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0a…9a0dbacked No44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked Yes54c198.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8226545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9934…0992backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No9c172$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7617744.1%78 W · 99 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c153.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes55c146$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No46c138.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9610248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c135.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09f…4ad6backed Yes78c128.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51a7…30abbacked Yes55c121.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.823756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a72…03dabacked No24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes53c110.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes80c106.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.417363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Yes79c102.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+42.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-69.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d94…92c9backed Yes78c95.13$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b8a…11d3backed Yes55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No47c89.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5743255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616962.1%105 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No46c71.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed No46c68.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc8…d9f7backed No46c67.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes52c66.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.031656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…4489backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed No46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1d…7a12backed Yes56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.431258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3d…2e64backed Yes55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8504…98febacked Yes78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.463444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…8fe0backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+69%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad72…b07dbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5226…3f8abacked Yes53c37.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No47c37.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4429053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ab…fc85backed Yes54c36.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba2…2803backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7475…2a10backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…31a3backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6820…5b8ebacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No47c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.452744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.214854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cb…e80cbacked Yes80c33.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be1…36d8backed Yes53c30.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf926…4d3cbacked Yes79c30.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Yes56c30.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes52c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.556035%21 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c53…0991backed Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.