TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb881…8fe0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+69%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Real Madrid beat Athletic Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Barcelona beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$37.97
Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+288.5%+$86.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2024, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet less than 3 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Pope be from Europe?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.