Movies · resolved market
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a84c17f1f613a1348471792300bfc4906267ae994a3e0889f205c4fdcac4daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 71c | 5,462$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…43ecbacked Yes | 69c | 4,217$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked No | 31c | 4,217$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 24c | 3,752$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.55 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 29c | 2,820$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.44 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 29c | 2,112$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 69c | 2,060$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.64 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…264fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,852$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 70c | 1,800$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 69c | 1,057$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.47 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Yes | 72c | 1,037$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 999.99$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 70c | 965$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 67c | 929.77$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.43 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 31c | 928.83$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a1…daa5backed Yes | 68c | 905.1$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 883$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.02 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 71c | 853.14$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed No | 30c | 795$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 29c | 686.27$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 26c | 625.09$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 67c | 569.82$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Yes | 74c | 540.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Yes | 66c | 527.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Yes | 69c | 500.57$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 29c | 475.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 62c | 445.68$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 67c | 420.12$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 73c | 410.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 28c | 399.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed No | 26c | 384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 30c | 383.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 29c | 349.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 60c | 348.95$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 68c | 333$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 34c | 327.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…2d67backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…773cbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 72c | 288.85$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 65c | 284.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 68c | 276.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…d4aabacked Yes | 74c | 246.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 71c | 237.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 65c | 230.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…6757backed No | 36c | 210$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 73c | 205.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 75c | 204.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 25c | 200.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 27c | 200.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 65c | 196$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…3093backed No | 31c | 190.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 69c | 179.58$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 26c | 175$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d8…521dbacked Yes | 72c | 174.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…df8cbacked No | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 71c | 169.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 65c | 161.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 29c | 161$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 157.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 70c | 142.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…47d0backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ccb5backed Yes | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 67c | 139.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 69c | 139.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 27c | 136.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b19…50b7backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 71c | 135.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked No | 33c | 134.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 75c | 133.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0e…d1a8backed No | 33c | 126.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…8cc2backed No | 32c | 121.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…08e4backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…227bbacked No | 28c | 117.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeee…706bbacked No | 34c | 116.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 28c | 113.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…7494backed Yes | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…dd73backed No | 29c | 104.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…1419backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…3dcabacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…29e9backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ad2abacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…4448backed No | 33c | 98.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…c4c7backed Yes | 74c | 97.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…d92dbacked No | 34c | 97.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…8da3backed Yes | 69c | 97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…7a7fbacked No | 30c | 85.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…f56bbacked No | 30c | 84.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Wicked" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.