Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491cb0ee1e9aded594ad5be7eafd05ca4161c80b12eed18a09b2bfa38e2e6fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 49c | 20,498$10,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,044.04 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 51c | 9,529$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 58c | 5,632$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 51c | 4,479$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 45c | 4,451$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.52 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,447$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.38 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked No | 53c | 3,429$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 51c | 3,384$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 34c | 2,441$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.88 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 54c | 2,127$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.37 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 57c | 1,806$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.43 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 46c | 1,608$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 53c | 1,580$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 36c | 1,409$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.52 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Yes | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,261$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.28 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…4fd3backed No | 52c | 1,244$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Yes | 47c | 1,191$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 41c | 1,140$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.07 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…1c54backed Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 59c | 1,018$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked No | 51c | 1,010$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…fb2cbacked Yes | 50c | 981.15$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 51c | 950.17$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.59 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…2394backed No | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 52c | 783.02$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed No | 51c | 606.14$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…d100backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 15c | 591.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed No | 51c | 562.23$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked No | 68c | 520$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 51c | 481.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…c824backed Yes | 52c | 468.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 468.43$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…b444backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…e644backed No | 49c | 334.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 53c | 320$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 66c | 313.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 53c | 300.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8f39backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…5755backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed No | 51c | 271.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked No | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked No | 51c | 234.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked No | 51c | 233.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Yes | 62c | 225$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…4ba6backed No | 15c | 215.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +237.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 22c | 210.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 53c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…689ebacked Yes | 50c | 198.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…bdd8backed Yes | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 51c | 195.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed No | 53c | 189.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 30c | 182.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…6c31backed No | 58c | 179$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…e08ebacked Yes | 42c | 179$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd340…6fbbbacked Yes | 49c | 167.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 51c | 157.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 61c | 150.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed No | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 35c | 149.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Yes | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…e33ebacked Yes | 70c | 141.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 52c | 139.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 54c | 134$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes | 49c | 120.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…168abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 28c | 113.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 35c | 101.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Yes | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…6f46backed No | 55c | 98.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…4e02backed No | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…9ddcbacked Yes | 47c | 95.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed No | 40c | 86.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…a515backed Yes | 48c | 82.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked No | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-11?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.