Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x834b371fe993e95cd1aa98a29e77794d5ff6dcaddf71115a6ad522b4b64ec165

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes	53c	15,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,000	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No	47c	13,390$6,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,259.55	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No	46c	5,615$2,573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,572.56	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	34c	4,773$1,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,623.16	247	42.5%105 W · 142 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Yes	57c	3,931$2,222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,709.24	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked No	22c	3,159$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.33	106	31.1%33 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes	78c	2,661$2,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.36	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd452…03e0backed Yes	70c	2,159$1,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No	40c	1,841$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.34	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked No	21c	1,750$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.5	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+106.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No	32c	1,738$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.23	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	77c	1,601$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.17	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes	79c	1,488$1,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.45	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No	21c	1,410$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.07	86	38.4%33 W · 53 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ff…29b5backed Yes	60c	1,336$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.96	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	35cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No	39c	1,261$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.14	74	35.1%26 W · 48 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No	42c	1,202$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.77	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-9.9wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-60%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	60c	1,114$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.7	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	43c	1,000$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	41c	919.52$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.47	291	38.1%111 W · 180 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	59c	918.16$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.16	164	47.6%78 W · 86 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes	80c	877.21$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.44	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	20c	755.82$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.16	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No	8c	750.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.34	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	41c	730$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.4	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	43c	683.36$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.68	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea1…5dcdbacked Yes	58c	678.27$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.87	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No	46c	647.55$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes	55c	552.73$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.73	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	33c	528.5$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.04	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	59c	516.7$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.65	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+6.0wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked No	16c	515.37$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.89	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes	62c	500$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	68c	500$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.23	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes	55c	490$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked No	32c	460$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes	61c	411.09$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.51	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x612e…fdebbacked Yes	59c	395.68$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b06…0f5dbacked Yes	80c	375$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4a…23dabacked Yes	58c	284.75$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	68c	250$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Yes	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee9…3175backed No	29c	250$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed Yes	57c	247.08$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.24	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No	23c	240.68$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.5	129	56.6%73 W · 56 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf937…6b43backed No	44c	221.61$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.4	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb14…7d37backed No	19c	209.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	17c	200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No	41c	199.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.99	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa568…0569backed Yes	58c	181.03$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked Yes	54c	180.83$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.18	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes	57c	176.22$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.12	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+159%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd416…df81backed Yes	59c	170.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.39	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	59c	170.23$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.23	186	50.5%94 W · 92 L	-14.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes	54c	156.42$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.2	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	79c	151$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.74	90	40%36 W · 54 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c3…16adbacked No	50c	138.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.52	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	30c	130.91$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.81	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…6c60backed Yes	55c	120.62$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes	70c	120$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	110	70%77 W · 33 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e62…84e5backed Yes	60c	117.67$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.47	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+100.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No	57c	111.1$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.33	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed No	62c	110$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	38c	110$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.2	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked No	19c	109.63$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x354a…eca7backed Yes	55c	109.09$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbd…8cb1backed Yes	72c	105.86$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe561…97cfbacked Yes	58c	104.99$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed1…1240backed Yes	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4279…05cabacked No	20c	99.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes	57c	87.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.56	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f0…3213backed Yes	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No	43c	81.6$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	55c	70.2$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.72	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	34c	70.2$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.16	80	60%48 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked No	60c	70$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes	79c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.4	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	68cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	40c	54.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.54	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes	58c	52.04$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.04	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	79c	50.32$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked No	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…8fe0backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked No	42c	49.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes	58c	47.69$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.03	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed No	50c	46.9$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes	60c	44.39$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.76	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd628…e4ccbacked Yes	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…fa88backed Yes	58c	38.88$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc0…6404backed Yes	57c	36.84$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2aa…8ce3backed Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x093b…a87cbacked Yes	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	75c	31.81$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.85	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51ae…0f80backed Yes	72c	30.9$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a0…eabdbacked Yes	70c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaf…1efdbacked Yes	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ff…8b5cbacked Yes	59c	26.05$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event