Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e62351041934ac5fe9c73edc801e0c5bc1e1586028d97cb7d9838a93df54ebe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 43c | 3,224$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.87 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 31c | 2,267$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.39 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 2,202$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.82 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 18c | 2,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.06 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 57c | 2,174$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.36 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fa61backed Yes | 44c | 1,695$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 32c | 888$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.06 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 64c | 707.87$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.89 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 53c | 537.28$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.33 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…6de7backed Yes | 48c | 437.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 25c | 390$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 42c | 388$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 57c | 296.68$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 76c | 278.87$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 66c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes | 19c | 129.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…0225backed No | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…bd39backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 21c | 93.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 34c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Yes | 36c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…8fa6backed Yes | 45c | 71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…d3afbacked No | 55c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…79d4backed Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8abacked Yes | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 30c | 63.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e4e3backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…09b7backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…9345backed No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…37d4backed No | 79c | 55.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…e654backed Yes | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…f8ebbacked No | 55c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…6641backed No | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…cd90backed No | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 80c | 45.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…bd4ebacked No | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…d38ebacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +395.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…acacbacked Yes | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…8867backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a19…0cc1backed Yes | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…02f8backed No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…f405backed No | 74c | 30.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…9e6cbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…fc72backed Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe334…61fdbacked Yes | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked No | 63c | 21.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…49bbbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…cf1dbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…bac8backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb9…fdb6backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.