TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,837 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4aef…9337backed Yes5c2,572$122 inLost-$121.8324742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes6c2,000$120 inLost-$1202240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes8c1,910$147 inLost-$146.914032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes17c1,313$224 inLost-$223.847435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes6c1,009$60 inLost-$60.234062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes2c600$14 inLost-$14.254332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes8c555$44 inLost-$44.413843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes12c283.09$34 inLost-$34.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes5c233$11 inLost-$10.7129138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes7c211.27$15 inLost-$14.793565.7%23 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed No73c200$146 inWon+$54683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+63.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes9c198.88$18 inLost-$18.219341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes9c150$13 inLost-$13.0525735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes8c138.79$11 inLost-$11.117048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes14c85.58$12 inLost-$11.984337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes18c70$13 inLost-$12.6114332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes18c60$11 inLost-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde26…0972backed No80c51.92$41 inWon+$10.58560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No80c50$40 inWon+$1018950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked No70c20$14 inWon+$61637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7576…f961backed No71c20$14 inWon+$5.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.