Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51aa346698a0b77eb5d806f6e8796eecc8998d7b74bcd30d9775b8fba832221d

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $191,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $191,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,534 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes	20c	153,564$30,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,207.97	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No	61c	2,959$1,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,165.84	129	56.6%73 W · 56 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	68c	2,529$1,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.29	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+6.0wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes	46c	2,441$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.19	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No	79c	1,950$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.01	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	21c	1,950$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.5	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+106.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Yes	21c	1,382$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yes	42c	1,306$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No	71c	1,203$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.22	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No	54c	1,175$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.3	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes	49c	1,050$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No	70c	1,044$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.81	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes	46c	882.31$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.83	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcfda…bedebacked No	39c	841$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.82	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+4.8wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+46%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No	65c	836.65$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.78	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	51c	779.45$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.32	80	40%32 W · 48 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	45c	778.33$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.01	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	18c	701.17$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.95	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	79c	660$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.6	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	52c	620$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.4	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d91…863dbacked Yes	64c	619.13$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes	62c	609.2$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.98	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No	68c	572.93$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.1	247	42.5%105 W · 142 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked No	54c	554.05$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	20c	550$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.5	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea1…5dcdbacked No	58c	511.78$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.45	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes	44c	507.07$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.18	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-9.9wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-60%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed No	49c	505.15$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.15	122	30.3%37 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545f…6a03backed No	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	16cpaid	+277.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca2…86cabacked No	54c	459.78$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc4…f39bbacked Yes	23c	441.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-6.1wins	-0.19per pick	43cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed Yes	64c	410.87$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	20c	395$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	58c	363.79$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.79	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes	60c	363.06$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.16	170	48.2%82 W · 88 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	51c	361$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.14	93	43%40 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes	20c	350$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	35c	312.89$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.77	173	22%38 W · 135 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Yes	19c	265$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9594…eefabacked Yes	20c	255$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.36per pick	44cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes	18c	247.78$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No	61c	240.19$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.23	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+9.3wins	+0.23per pick	29cpaid	+261.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa337…4ababacked Yes	29c	188.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked No	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No	52c	180.54$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.94	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+157.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ca…9069backed No	58c	174.31$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd8…f68abacked No	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee9…3175backed Yes	43c	159.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9998…dbfebacked Yes	65c	150.96$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5256…0494backed No	41c	150.33$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.69	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Yes	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…55d7backed Yes	20c	145$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36a…6814backed Yes	19c	143.63$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.29	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2684…d3d6backed No	57c	141.47$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.24	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	52c	137.67$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.46	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked No	68c	134.19$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-48%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes	58c	130$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.4	189	50.3%95 W · 94 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c4a…23dabacked Yes	45c	121.51$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…3ad0backed Yes	44c	114.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f0…3213backed Yes	45c	112.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	66c	106.94$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.22	291	38.1%111 W · 180 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…678ebacked Yes	71c	101.79$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.27	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x024f…daf0backed Yes	20c	101$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	40%40 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff5…9887backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4424…88a8backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6edc…6975backed No	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9380…3a18backed Yes	53c	93.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No	44c	92.4$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	47c	89.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.45	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38d7…261bbacked Yes	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed No	70c	79.9$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.07	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes	20c	73.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes	42c	72.35$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes	52c	70.54$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	36cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba0c…a550backed No	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+103.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc08…6bd3backed No	43c	68.42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.32	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed No	58c	68.12$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.61	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6238…57c8backed Yes	75c	66.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0710…42a2backed Yes	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc679…ea7cbacked No	54c	57.96$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.66	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+111.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	55c	57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…68f5backed Yes	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	143	32.2%46 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a0…eabdbacked No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	31cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01b…fba2backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed No	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1200…a827backed Yes	42c	48.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-3.5wins	-0.50per pick	65cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed No	39c	41.57$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes	58c	39.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.34	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	68cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No	29c	36.94$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.05	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc30b…c929backed Yes	62c	32.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event