TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked No60c1,736$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.429138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No10c1,708$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6817348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9307435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes55c1,221$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.513737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No4c1,111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.444924.5%12 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+157.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No45c1,005$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2519645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No68c1,003$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes32c822.75$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.72152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked No6c800$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No60c350.53$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3418950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes22c334.3$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.054332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes31c276$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.441729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb418…e588backed Yes34c234.94$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked No62c153.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.081216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid+202.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f6…d035backed Yes38c153.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.08425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe876…9586backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes36c115.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1114332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No60c111.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No56c99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.449343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed No45c98.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5113139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c6…ca31backed No69c87.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3675…4036backed Yes32c87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes46c83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8224742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cd5…177bbacked No69c78.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497a…e6dcbacked Yes32c78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…5734backed Yes40c77.35$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf44…3498backed Yes32c75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No63c74.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.954062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf995…47e7backed Yes32c73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd9…f8e9backed Yes32c73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa3…1ef8backed No69c72.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.72540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes42c64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.971844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No73c63.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.953324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4424…88a8backed Yes32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1198…50f1backed Yes32c58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8be…a007backed Yes32c58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a1…d4a0backed Yes32c58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed No67c51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.171020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5976…7bebbacked Yes33c51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e62…84e5backed Yes43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2f…4cafbacked Yes39c49.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa5…b640backed No70c49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No58c47.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6213843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…a1ddbacked No69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes38c43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6611916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e05…2335backed No70c41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc08…6bd3backed No65c40.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c2…a8babacked No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x268a…91ebbacked No69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fa…2220backed No71c38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae0…84eabacked No70c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac3…d15bbacked No71c35.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8560…71b0backed No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…7fd8backed No69c33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c3…7938backed No61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4369…6055backed No34c32.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…c043backed No69c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ae…fbbfbacked No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ce…075bbacked No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6eb…f5dfbacked No69c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7556…d202backed No70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…6ed3backed No70c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…7420backed No69c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x334b…be5abacked No69c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b3…87b8backed No62c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…d67dbacked No69c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked No65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132176.2%16 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c3…16adbacked No62c16.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+89.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.