Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacedebe321448cb07897fe489008311415291f85f611ff4ce85c1b2ae33bc3a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 8c | 3,505$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 7c | 2,281$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 1c | 2,266$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +920.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 6c | 1,257$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 6c | 945.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 13c | 720.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 23c | 693.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked No | 7c | 580$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 8c | 554.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 33c | 526.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 6c | 502.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fd…7d96backed No | 4c | 443.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 73c | 361.68$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 7c | 266.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 255.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 17c | 243.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01b…fba2backed No | 6c | 222.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 7c | 212.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Yes | 76c | 193.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 170$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 78c | 119.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…28a5backed Yes | 69c | 86.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…7f0bbacked No | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…09f9backed Yes | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed No | 22c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…eabdbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…8d70backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b3ddbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 79c | 44.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.