Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded045fbc57ed87cefad7ffed4d2e6cb39f7f403bf03463b50da9a662d9b6bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9960…43c1backed No | 65c | 9,326$6,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,051.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 36c | 7,142$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,535.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 35c | 3,286$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 44c | 1,728$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.32 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 40c | 1,252$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.93 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 36c | 797$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.52 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 59c | 443.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.61 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 67c | 407.04$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 399.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 68c | 290.1$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 32c | 194.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…6714backed Yes | 44c | 144.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d3…046fbacked Yes | 44c | 139.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…eb69backed Yes | 44c | 126.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 124.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 33c | 119$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…e582backed Yes | 44c | 118.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 60c | 107.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…427dbacked No | 58c | 107.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…8eb5backed No | 59c | 100.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 67c | 98.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…c4cdbacked Yes | 33c | 98.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…1aefbacked No | 58c | 90.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…dc7abacked Yes | 32c | 85.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…cda4backed No | 59c | 85.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…c4afbacked No | 59c | 70.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dae0backed No | 58c | 69.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…6814backed Yes | 38c | 68.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 62c | 54.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…5e0ebacked Yes | 32c | 49.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +965.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e7…d660backed Yes | 43c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…06cdbacked No | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…8d6bbacked Yes | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 38.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…05c9backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…ae64backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c840backed No | 57c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…428bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…3993backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…f961backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c3…7938backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…061cbacked No | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 25.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes | 79c | 21.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AS Monaco advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Benfica advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Celtic advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Inter Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.