Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos Belcast
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4156f409ee550326eb5cf18aad9e9701a106be3fd921f2b1151086141b28e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andoni of Andoni , Belcast
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Belcast | 35c | 1,060$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed Andoni | 68c | 687.75$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Belcast | 20c | 335.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Andoni | 70c | 283.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…f63cbacked Belcast | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3347…7689backed Belcast | 28c | 173$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…c28bbacked Andoni | 76c | 156.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked Andoni | 67c | 154$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…06f3backed Belcast | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…7844backed Andoni | 79c | 136.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…40cfbacked Belcast | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…358ebacked Andoni | 74c | 104.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Belcast | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fd…1e36backed Andoni | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Belcast | 19c | 90.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Belcast | 31c | 89.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7e…1317backed Belcast | 35c | 85.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Belcast | 19c | 74.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…1c77backed Andoni | 80c | 61.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…b97bbacked Belcast | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…1628backed Belcast | 34c | 43.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b12…cba7backed Andoni | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…255abacked Andoni | 69c | 38.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed Andoni | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Andoni | 77c | 28.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…8fe0backed Andoni | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…1152backed Andoni | 64c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf358…2f21backed Andoni | 69c | 21.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…1aabbacked Andoni | 80c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked Andoni | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos Belcastthis page
- Boxing: Abby vs. RoRoAbby won
- Boxing: Alana vs Ari GeliAlana won
- Boxing: Peereira7 vs. RivaldiosPeereira7 won
- Boxing: Perxitaa vs. GaspiPerxitaa won
- Boxing: TheGrefg vs WestcolTheGrefg won
- Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás MazzaViruzz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.