Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf4498c1cbfdb7dcb264671e7275bfb06fafcb4faa6b18c53a5c8eebbacfa32b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 49c | 12,868$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 54c | 6,122$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.81 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed No | 51c | 3,287$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…07afbacked Yes | 61c | 3,271$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 51c | 3,163$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d2…7754backed Yes | 31c | 2,518$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…6291backed Yes | 57c | 2,143$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 54c | 1,822$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…76f7backed Yes | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 1,624$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.63 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…94ecbacked Yes | 13c | 1,556$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 1,544$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…3da7backed Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…85fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,252$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 1,241$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe884…b0ebbacked No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…9eefbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…454ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…f772backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…1673backed No | 56c | 913$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…bdf2backed Yes | 44c | 913$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6cd5backed No | 56c | 913$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efd…461bbacked Yes | 44c | 913$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 9c | 900.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 57c | 877.27$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 746.79$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Yes | 55c | 725.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…84fcbacked Yes | 12c | 550.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Yes | 39c | 517.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 50c | 452.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed Yes | 47c | 429.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…09dfbacked Yes | 57c | 421.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9b…3f8ebacked Yes | 39c | 420.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 46c | 410.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d1…6317backed Yes | 4c | 399.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 17c | 389.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked Yes | 60c | 386.14$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +465.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed No | 44c | 351$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…3276backed Yes | 37c | 348.72$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 60c | 338.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 48c | 300.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a8a5backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 37c | 296.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…007fbacked Yes | 36c | 280.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…38fcbacked Yes | 11c | 273.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…33e0backed Yes | 57c | 270.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…0261backed Yes | 4c | 270$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…7a42backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 44c | 235$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed No | 44c | 222.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 50c | 217.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…a238backed Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…2214backed Yes | 43c | 209.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…b5a9backed Yes | 38c | 202.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…bc4cbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…a889backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f4…2460backed Yes | 8c | 199.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…c031backed No | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7b6fbacked Yes | 22c | 194.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…67d7backed Yes | 15c | 193.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…f32abacked Yes | 41c | 192.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed No | 40c | 188.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0973…8986backed Yes | 55c | 176.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…c602backed Yes | 57c | 175.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…fe6ebacked Yes | 55c | 164.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 63c | 158.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes | 63c | 157.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…192bbacked Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…8482backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…4a8ebacked Yes | 51c | 130.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +262.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…e48abacked Yes | 56c | 130.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed No | 36c | 129.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa0…920fbacked Yes | 57c | 128.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90f…b000backed Yes | 62c | 127.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…d189backed Yes | 33c | 127.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed Yes | 58c | 125.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…4279backed Yes | 40c | 125.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Yes | 14c | 124.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +519.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…3155backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…506abacked No | 54c | 119.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…7c81backed Yes | 9c | 119.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea23…025cbacked No | 65c | 117.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…f829backed Yes | 52c | 115.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 16c | 113.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…10b0backed No | 50c | 100.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…078bbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f91…8823backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…9304backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…c808backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…164abacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…f232backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b19…f0aebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d39backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…0625backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.