TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Manchester City beat Juventus?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No51c21,617$10,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,652.35463%34 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes51c15,023$7,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,711.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes51c6,123$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.733661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.978748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed No50c3,913$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+155.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No48c3,843$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.557346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes52c3,829$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c2,720$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.8339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15df…9465backed Yes46c2,379$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes55c1,658$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91120667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…67c7backed No52c1,471$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes32c1,194$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38510931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No49c1,191$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.925352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7563…7654backed Yes51c1,184$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes53c1,153$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.356028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No48c1,150$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.4517053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No68c1,118$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.552860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3d…f0c9backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.991181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa768…0ad1backed Yes53c959.82$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No43c837.7$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes49c747.35$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3671729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c699.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes53c659.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.792437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes52c625$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No51c491$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes48c480.72$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7521037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes11c462.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45429.6%16 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes50c428.77$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.713139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No50c421.4$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.062166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf63f…8376backed No49c410.82$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6981…02aebacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes50c352.46$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4916836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Yes53c340.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f2…79d0backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes44c290.66$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3311145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa8…8f99backed Yes27c269.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe939…2af4backed Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No58c230.46$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6825735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes29c223.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes50c222.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.53033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…7fcbbacked Yes13c208.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes22c203.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Yes51c201.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-69.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003129%9 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed Yes49c170.35$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Yes46c162.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.917460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No50c159.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0418350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf2…2929backed No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeee…c5c4backed Yes49c148.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Yes50c120.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4241…b6ebbacked Yes49c118.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No55c103.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5224455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x707f…cba4backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…7d9fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No63c99.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5222647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7c…eacdbacked Yes15c97.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+92.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes49c97.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.171330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587a…b508backed Yes54c96.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad5…f2d2backed Yes52c88.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No51c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.63053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c8d…f7f8backed Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes50c73.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba64…3808backed Yes51c69.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe653…ac93backed No52c51.89$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f43…89b0backed Yes51c50.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2512862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb41c…54dcbacked Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182a…c9bebacked Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b502backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cba…1d68backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2946…bc4ebacked Yes53c47.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed No53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.174045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f97…9c42backed Yes32c46.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No51c45.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.14969.4%34 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed No49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9513534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x252b…8400backed Yes50c40.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8210040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee18…4249backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…8fe0backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c17…9b2dbacked Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x961b…6a1dbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.